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2H23: Some Signs to Support ITAD Executives’ Optimism for a Better Outlook

Jul 12, 2023

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  View this post on Instagram   A post shared by David Daoud of Compliance Standards (@lunch_with_david) We have just entered the third quarter of 2023 and many industry executives question whether the second half of the year could bring a better market environment following a dismal first half. Although forecasting what’s to come is […] Continue reading below.
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We have just entered the third quarter of 2023 and many industry executives question whether the second half of the year could bring a better market environment following a dismal first half. Although forecasting what’s to come is no trivial exercise, we are seeing optimism among industry executives and among those who report the data that suggest the potential for a better period ahead. However, we still must remain cautious as there are plenty of headwinds.  Please click on the link below to access this ITAD Market Pulse analysis by Compliance Standards.

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Analyst/Author: Emilie Wiseman

Premium Content from ITAD Market Pulse:

Special Report: State of the Independent ITAD Operator in the United States

The US independent IT Asset Disposition (ITAD) sector is approaching a structural inflection unlike anything in its thirty-year history. What was for two decades a quietly growing services category dominated by founder-led regional operators has, in the past eighteen months, become a target for sophisticated institutional capital, a strategic priority for global conglomerates, and — most consequentially — a function that enterprise buyers are finally beginning to treat as a governance discipline rather than a disposal cost.

The PC Market’s “Memflation” Moment: Why Q1 Shipment Growth Is a Mirage

PC shipment data from Gartner and IDC suggests a healthy market on the surface, but both firms warn that Q1 2026 growth is being driven by inventory build, rising memory costs, and Windows 10 migration rather than real demand.

For ITAD and recycling executives, memflation is likely to boost residual values for Windows 11-capable enterprise fleets even as a large cohort of non-upgradeable Windows 10 devices tilts toward materials recovery, while shifting vendor share, growing Apple volumes, and geopolitical freight shocks force a rethink of pricing, logistics, and Apple-specific capabilities over the next 18–36 months.

Client Note: HPE Downgrade Highlights Demand Fragility and Uneven AI Monetization

In our latest client note, we connect data from HPE’s downgrade, Morgan Stanley’s sector-wide hardware warning, and HPE’s own earnings disclosures to five specific operational implications for End-Of-Life service providers, including why linear volume planning is now a liability, where residual value assumptions need to be revised downward, and what phased decommissioning means for how services are structured going forward.

Compliance: Navigating the Post-Basel ITAD Compliance Landscape in 2026

As of Q1 2026, the operating environment that the global ITAD industry was built around has been evolving and materially changing. The Basel Convention’s 2025 amendments have subjected virtually all transboundary e-waste movements to Prior Informed Consent (PIC) procedures, eliminating the permissive classifications that allowed untested equipment to cross borders with minimal scrutiny. Malaysia, until recently the principal global destination for imported e-waste, has imposed an absolute prohibition on all e-waste imports, with the ban was formally gazetted into law on April 1, 2026, removing a critical outlet from the global processing chain overnight. And for enterprises subject to the EU’s Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive, gaps in downstream asset-disposition tracking have now become an audit exposure.

This report analyzes what these developments mean for ITAD operators, enterprise asset managers, and logistics providers, and sets out the contractual, operational, and reporting steps required to remain compliant, auditable, and insurable in this new environment.

ITAD M&A Outlook: Lessons from the MSP Consolidation Wave and Three Scenarios for the ITAD Market

This report is an investor-grade analysis of how the IT Asset Disposition (ITAD) market is likely to consolidate over the next five to seven years, using the Managed Service Provider (MSP) consolidation cycle as a model and cautionary tale. It first reconstructs how MSPs went from a fragmented, owner‑operator landscape in 2018 to a market dominated by a handful of scaled platforms, and then maps those lessons onto today’s ITAD sector, which now shows similar fragmentation, secular growth, and rising private equity interest.

For prospective ITAD investors, strategics, and boards, the report explains ITAD’s core demand drivers, segments the competitive landscape into four tiers, and highlights ITAD’s dual role as both a compliance service and a critical materials feedstock source. It then details recent M&A activity from 2023–2026 and current valuation dynamics, before laying out three structured consolidation scenarios; a disciplined PE rollup, a fragmented stall, and a strategic acquirer takeover; with implications for entry timing, platform selection, value creation levers, and risk signals to monitor

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