ITAD Market Pulse

Intro: ITAD Industry Performance Update and Outlook

Jul 5, 2023

Number of readers who accessed this analysis : 949
Let me thank those of you who took our first ITAD Industry Performance Review and Outlook. This survey closed and we have conducted a Zoom presentation on June 29, 2023. For those who took the survey, you must have received links to access a written analysis, PowerPoint slides and a replay of the Zoom video presentation. If you have not received the links, please check your spambox or send me an email Continue reading below.

Hello Colleagues,

A warm welcome to you and wishing you a smooth summer 2023.

Firstly on behalf of Compliance Standards and E-Scrap News, let me thank those of you who took our first ITAD Industry Performance Review and Outlook. This survey closed and we have conducted a Zoom presentation on June 29, 2023. For those who took the survey, you must have received links to access a written analysis, PowerPoint slides and a replay of the Zoom video presentation. If you have not received the links, please check your spambox or send me an email at: DDaoud@Compliance-Standards.com and I will make sure you will get the details.

For those who did not take the survey, I will summarize the findings in one single sentence: the first half of the year was an extraordinarily difficult period for the ITAD sector, but looking ahead, there is plenty of optimism not only among your peers, but we also share the same optimism, albeit we must remain cautious.

In the coming weeks, we plan to release the survey instrument for the second installment, and we sincerely hope we will have the opportunity to welcome those of you who have not participated last month for a broader participation. To be reminded of taking the next survey, please add your email address below.

Thank you for your attention and let’s connect soon.

David Daoud
Compliance Standards LLC.



 

Analyst/Author: David Daoud | Principal Analyst

David Daoud has researched the mainstream IT hardware market since 1996 and expanded into hardware disposition research in 2003. He has spearheaded the creation of IDC’s GRADE certification. Since then, David has been providing consulting and expert advice to companies looking to establish best practice in their IT equipment decommissioning and helped leading ITAD service providers assess demand, understand competition, and forecast what’s to come. David is currently the Principal Analyst at Compliance Standards, which focuses entirely on the end-of-life of IT equipment. He can be reached at 754-229-0095 or at ddaoud@compliance-standards.com

Special Report: State of the Independent ITAD Operator in the United States

The US independent IT Asset Disposition (ITAD) sector is approaching a structural inflection unlike anything in its thirty-year history. What was for two decades a quietly growing services category dominated by founder-led regional operators has, in the past eighteen months, become a target for sophisticated institutional capital, a strategic priority for global conglomerates, and — most consequentially — a function that enterprise buyers are finally beginning to treat as a governance discipline rather than a disposal cost.

The PC Market’s “Memflation” Moment: Why Q1 Shipment Growth Is a Mirage

PC shipment data from Gartner and IDC suggests a healthy market on the surface, but both firms warn that Q1 2026 growth is being driven by inventory build, rising memory costs, and Windows 10 migration rather than real demand.

For ITAD and recycling executives, memflation is likely to boost residual values for Windows 11-capable enterprise fleets even as a large cohort of non-upgradeable Windows 10 devices tilts toward materials recovery, while shifting vendor share, growing Apple volumes, and geopolitical freight shocks force a rethink of pricing, logistics, and Apple-specific capabilities over the next 18–36 months.

Client Note: HPE Downgrade Highlights Demand Fragility and Uneven AI Monetization

In our latest client note, we connect data from HPE’s downgrade, Morgan Stanley’s sector-wide hardware warning, and HPE’s own earnings disclosures to five specific operational implications for End-Of-Life service providers, including why linear volume planning is now a liability, where residual value assumptions need to be revised downward, and what phased decommissioning means for how services are structured going forward.

Compliance: Navigating the Post-Basel ITAD Compliance Landscape in 2026

As of Q1 2026, the operating environment that the global ITAD industry was built around has been evolving and materially changing. The Basel Convention’s 2025 amendments have subjected virtually all transboundary e-waste movements to Prior Informed Consent (PIC) procedures, eliminating the permissive classifications that allowed untested equipment to cross borders with minimal scrutiny. Malaysia, until recently the principal global destination for imported e-waste, has imposed an absolute prohibition on all e-waste imports, with the ban was formally gazetted into law on April 1, 2026, removing a critical outlet from the global processing chain overnight. And for enterprises subject to the EU’s Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive, gaps in downstream asset-disposition tracking have now become an audit exposure.

This report analyzes what these developments mean for ITAD operators, enterprise asset managers, and logistics providers, and sets out the contractual, operational, and reporting steps required to remain compliant, auditable, and insurable in this new environment.

ITAD M&A Outlook: Lessons from the MSP Consolidation Wave and Three Scenarios for the ITAD Market

This report is an investor-grade analysis of how the IT Asset Disposition (ITAD) market is likely to consolidate over the next five to seven years, using the Managed Service Provider (MSP) consolidation cycle as a model and cautionary tale. It first reconstructs how MSPs went from a fragmented, owner‑operator landscape in 2018 to a market dominated by a handful of scaled platforms, and then maps those lessons onto today’s ITAD sector, which now shows similar fragmentation, secular growth, and rising private equity interest.

For prospective ITAD investors, strategics, and boards, the report explains ITAD’s core demand drivers, segments the competitive landscape into four tiers, and highlights ITAD’s dual role as both a compliance service and a critical materials feedstock source. It then details recent M&A activity from 2023–2026 and current valuation dynamics, before laying out three structured consolidation scenarios; a disciplined PE rollup, a fragmented stall, and a strategic acquirer takeover; with implications for entry timing, platform selection, value creation levers, and risk signals to monitor

OFFERINGS

A twice monthly report release of opinion and/or analysis of importance to the ITAD sector. Membership is for a 12 month subscription and is valid on an individual seat basis or site license basis.

A comprehensive set of charts, data and explainers on nine vertical markets with focus on enterprise handling of ITAD.

Data and research designed for end-users. ITAD vendors can request membership on a fee basis. (forthcoming)

This is designed for ITAD companies interested in promoting their image, boost their brand and get leads.

We welcome all ITAD vendors to join the quarterly survey building and promoted in partnership between Compliance Standards and E-Scrap News. Joining is free and results are available only for survey respondents.